Week 6 Bowl Projections

Staff

Originally Published October 08, 2012 ET
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It's almost impossible to try to figure out who's going to be in the BCS championship, but we give it a try after a wild, shake-up weekend. Check out the latest CFN Bowl Projections.


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First, this is a nearly-impossible puzzle to put together correctly in the first week of December with all the inside information possible, much less now. There will be changes in the bowl tie-ins, the seedings, and the conference pecking order before the dust settles at the end of the season, but these are close. Some of the bowls aren't even sure which teams from which conferences will be available to them, so while a slot might make sense, things get out of whack when bowls jump the gun with invites or go with geographical matchups over good football pairings. The goal here is to attempt to account for the self-interests of the bowls that'll want to sell tickets and generate publicity. 

Second, remember that schedules mean everything. Some teams might be better than others but are predicted to go to lesser bowl games because their records might not be as strong as other possible choices. The best educated guess is taken at every turn. 

Third, not everyone will get the call. There are only so many available slots, so some worthy teams, especially from the Big 12 and Big East, might get shut out due to a lack of at-large bids available.  

Finally, don't yell at us if you don't like where your team is predicted to go. This will all likely change this before the season starts and will be updated every week throughout the year. If it looks like some team that we have playing in December looks like a world-beater, it'll obviously be predicted to go to another bowl as the season goes on. 

A few more things. 

1) The BCS games that lose their natural tie-ins to the BCS championship will get the first choices of at-large teams, and after that it goes Fiesta, Sugar, Orange in the selection process. 
2) Notre Dame will have an automatic berth if it's in the top eight of the final BCS Standings and can be selected with an at-large bid if it finishes in the top 14. 
3) Some bowls ignore the final standings as far as the seedings and pairings. Again, geography is a big deal. 
4) Ohio State, Penn State, UCF and North Carolina aren't allowed to go to a bowl game, They were naughty. 

And away we go. Happy bowling. 

Gildan New Mexico
Albuquerque, NM University Stadium
Dec. 15, 1:00 pm, ESPN
Pac-12 No. 7 vs. Mountain West No. 4 or 5 
Projection: California vs. Fresno State  

Famous Idaho Potato
Boise, ID Bronco Stadium,
Dec. 15, 4:30 pm, ESPN
WAC vs. MAC No. 3 
Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Ball State    

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia
San Diego, CA Qualcomm Stadium
Dec. 20, 8:00 pm, ESPN 
BYU vs. MWC No. 2 
Projection: BYU vs. Nevada  

Beef O' Brady's St. Petersburg
St. Petersburg, FL Tropicana Field
Dec. 21, 7:30 pm, ESPN
C-USA vs. Big East No. 6 
Projection: UCF vs. Connecticut 

R+L Carriers New Orleans
New Orleans, LA Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Dec. 22, 12:00, ESPN
C-USA vs. Sun Belt No. 1 
Projection: East Carolina vs. ULM  

MAACO Las Vegas
Las Vegas, NV Sam Boyd Stadium
Dec. 22, 3:30 pm, ESPN 
Pac-12 No. 5 vs. MWC No. 1 
Projection: Washington vs. Fresno State  

Sheraton Hawaii
Honolulu, HI Aloha Stadium
Dec. 24, 8:00 pm, ESPN
Mountain West vs. C-USA 
Projection: Utah State* vs. Marshall  

Little Caesars Pizza
Detroit, MI Ford Field 
Dec. 26, 7:30 pm, ESPN 
Big Ten No. 8 vs. MAC No. 2 
Projection: Minnesota vs. Toledo  

Military
Washington, DC RFK Stadium
Dec. 27, 3:00 pm, ESPN 
Army vs. ACC No. 8 
Projection: Baylor* vs. Maryland
*Army not projected available

Belk
Charlotte, NC Bank of America Stadium
Dec. 27, 6:30 pm, ESPN 
ACC No. 5 vs. Big East No. 3 
Projection: Georgia Tech vs. Cincinnati  

Bridgepoint Education Holiday
San Diego, CA Qualcomm Stadium
Dec. 27, 9:45 pm, ESPN 
Pac-12 No. 3 vs. Big 12 No. 5 
Projection: Arizona State vs. Iowa State  

AdvoCare V100 Independence
Shreveport, LA Independence Stadium
Dec. 28, 2:00 pm, ESPN 
ACC No. 7 vs. SEC 
Projection: Duke vs. Ole Miss 

Russell Athletic
Orlando, FL Florida Citrus Bowl
Dec. 28, 5:30 pm, ESPN 
Big East No. 2 vs. ACC No. 3. Projection: Louisville vs. Miami  

Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas
Houston, TX Reliant Stadium
Dec. 28, 9:00 pm, ESPN 
Big 12 No. 6 vs. Big Ten No. 6 
Projection: Texas Tech vs. Purdue  

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
Fort Worth, TX Amon G. Carter Stadium
Dec. 29, 11:45 am, ESPN 
C-USA vs. MWC 
Projection: Houston vs. Boise State  

Kraft Fight Hunger
San Francisco, CA AT&T Park 
Dec. 29, 3:15 pm, ESPN or ESPN2 
Navy vs. Pac-12 No. 6 
Projection: Navy vs. UCLA 

New Era Pinstripe
Bronx, NY Yankee Stadium
Dec. 29, 3:15 pm, ESPN or ESPN2 
Big 12 No. 7 vs. Big East No. 4 
Projection: TCU vs. Syracuse  

Valero Alamo
San Antonio, TX Alamodome
Dec. 29, 6:45 pm, ESPN 
Pac-12 No. 2 vs. Big 12 No. 3 
Projection: Oregon State vs. Oklahoma  

Buffalo Wild Wings
Tempe, AZ Sun Devil Stadium
Dec. 29, 10:15 pm, ESPN 
Big 12 No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or 5 
Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin  

Franklin American Mortgage Music City
Nashville, TN LP Field
Dec. 31, 12:00 pm, ESPN 
SEC No. 7 vs. ACC No. 6 
Projection: Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech 

Hyundai Sun
El Paso, TX Sun Bowl
Dec. 31, 2:00 pm, CBS 
ACC No. 4 vs. Pac-12 No. 4 
Projection: NC State vs. Stanford  

AutoZone Liberty
Memphis, TN Liberty Bowl
Dec. 31, 3:30 pm, ESPN 
C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 8 or 9 or Big East No. 5 if not SEC 
Projection: Tulsa vs. Vanderbilt  

Chick-fil-A
Atlanta, GA Georgia Dome
Dec. 31, 7:30 pm, ESPN
ACC No. 2 vs. SEC No. 5 
Projection: Clemson vs. Texas A&M  
 
TicketCity

Dallas, TX Cotton Bowl
Jan. 1, 12:00 pm, ESPNU 
C-USA vs. Big Ten No. 7 
Projection: SMU vs. Iowa  

TaxSlayer.com Gator
Jacksonville, FL EverBank Field
Jan. 1, 12:00 pm, ESPN2 
Big Ten No. 4 or 5 vs. SEC No. 6 
Projection: Northwestern vs. Mississippi State  

Capital One
Orlando, FL Florida Citrus Bowl
Jan. 1, 1:00 pm, TBA 
SEC No. 2 vs. Big Ten No. 2 
Projection: South Carolina vs. Michigan  

Outback
Tampa, FL Raymond James Stadium
Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC No. 3 Jan. 1, 1:00 pm, TBA 
Projection: Michigan State vs. LSU  

AT&T Cotton
Arlington, TX Cowboys Stadium
Jan. 4, 8:00 pm, FOX 
Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC No. 3 or 4 
Projection: West Virginia vs. Georgia  

BBVA Compass
Birmingham, AL Legion Field
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, ESPN 
SEC No. 8 or 9 vs. Big East No. 5 or C-USA 
Projection: Arkansas vs. Pitt  
GoDaddy.com
Mobile, AL Ladd-Peebles Stadium
Jan. 6, 9:00 pm, ESPN 
Sun Belt No. 2 vs. MAC No. 1 
Projection: Western Kentucky vs. Ohio  

BCS BOWLS 

Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO
January 1st, 5:00 pm, ESPN
Pasadena, CA Rose Bowl
Big Ten No. 1 vs. Pac-12 
Projection: Nebraska vs. USC  

Discover Orange
January 1st, 8:30 pm, ESPN 
Miami Gardens, FL Sun Life Stadium
ACC No. 1 vs. BCS At-Large 
Projection: Florida State vs. Rutgers  

Allstate Sugar
January 2nd, 8:30 pm, ESPN 
New Orleans, LA Mercedes-Benz Superdome
SEC No. 1 vs. BCS At-Large 
Projection: Kansas State vs. Florida  

Tostitos Fiesta 
January 3rd, 8:30 pm, ESPN 
Glendale, AZ Univ. of Phoenix Stadium 
Big 12 No. 1 vs. BCS At-Large 
Projection: Texas vs. Notre Dame 

Discover BCS National Championship

January 7th, 8:30pm, ESPN 
Miami Gardens, FL Sun Life Stadium 
BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2 
Projection: Alabama vs. Oregon